Good Friday Morning,
With the holiday weekend upon us, expect delays at EWR airport with the long-term runway closure ongoing. Fortunately, good weather is expected up and down the East Coast of the US on Easter Sunday which should help mitigate delays. Expect delays at DEN also with light snow forecast. Early Sunday mornings in late May through June the runway at EGGW will be closed from 02z until 0420z. Notams were issued yesterday.
Critical weather days / geomagnetic storm outlook – none expected through Easter Sunday.
Tropical cyclone outlook – TC Errol, 150 miles NE of Broome, Australia, will be making landfall shortly as a weak TC, well to the North of Broome. TC 31P, 525 miles East of Darwin, will likely make a loop in the Gulf of Carpentaria over the next several days and remain a fairly weak TC.
CONUS severe weather outlook – slight risk of severe thunderstorms exist across portions of the Southern US for the next three days in association with a slow-moving upper level trough.
Europe outlook – on Saturday afternoon, a fairly deep area of low pressure will be located over extreme Northern Portugal with a cold front extending from the low to Eastern Spain. Heavy showers and isolated thunderstorms are likely from France to Spain and Portugal. On Sunday, a weaker area of low pressure will reside over Southern Western France creating scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms to much of Southern France to the Alps.
North Atlantic jet stream forecast – on Sunday, for the first time in a while, a zonal flow will dominate from the lower Great Lake states to Portugal with velocities generally less than 100 knots.
Images courtesy of wxcharts.com, pivotal weather.com, tropicaltidbits.com, UK met office, Weather prediction center, aviation weather center, weathernerds.org, Tomer tropical weather and the joint typhoon warning center.