Good Wednesday Morning,
Mobile world congress will be held from March 02 until March 05th at Barcelona (LEBL). They also have several nav outages ongoing with runway 24R ILS GP U/S for example. Typhoon Flag 2026 military exercise will take place from 16 Feb until 27 Feb (weekends excluded) and will impact the airspace over the Rome and Brindisi FIR from time to time. Fortunately, most of the restrictions only go up to FL 300, however some do go to FL 600. Airspace is normally blocked out from 08-11z, then again from 1230 until 1530z. Australian grand prix is just around the corner, March 08th. Expect increased traffic and limited parking at YMEN/YMML. Notam for TNCM just issued – severely limiting the number of aircraft per hour until the end of March. Very rare blizzard warning has been issued along the North Shore of Lake Superior for snowfall in excess of 18 inches along with wind gusts in excess of 50 mph. Strong Easterly winds and upslope are helping to magnify the snow amounts. DLH will be impacted.
Critical weather days / geomagnetic storm outlook – enhanced caution continues through Friday due to wildfire ops in the Midwest and Southern Plains through Friday morning. No geomagnetic storms are forecast.
CONUS severe weather outlook – on Thursday, a slight risk will exist from Northern KY to extreme SW OH with a few super cells possible.
Tropical weather outlook – invest area 97S, 160 miles South of Diego Garcia has a medium chance of developing over the next 24 hours. Model projections indicate that no land masses will be affected over the next several days.
Europe outlook – on Thursday, a fairly deep area of low pressure will be centered near the Paris area, and this will help support widespread lower elevation showers over much of France with periods of heavy snow in portions of the Eastern Alps while strong high pressure builds into Western Portugal with gusty winds likely over Southern France into Italy. On Friday a high-pressure ridge will prevail from Spain to Poland with a weak frontal system through the UK along with surface low pressure near Sofia creating a band of light to moderate snow from Croatia to Eastern Ukraine.
North Atlantic Jet stream – a general zonal flow continues from the Mid Atlantic States to just north of the Azores to central France with max velocities of 150 knots from MO to TXKF.
Images courtesy of wxcharts.com, pivotal weather.com, tropical tidbits.com, UK met office, Weather prediction center, Environment Canada, weathernerds.org, Tomer tropical weather and the joint typhoon warning center.
