Good Monday Morning,
WSSL will continue to have periodic runway closures until the 08th of August per notam A1842/25. Continue to have flow restrictions through the Cairo FIR as the airspace remains congested. Please check the latest FIR notams from HECC. Deep winter storm will be passing just to the South of SE Australia over the next 24 to 48 hours bringing heavy snow to the Australian Alps. Snowfall amounts could exceed 50cm in certain locations.
Critical weather days / geomagnetic storm outlook – no critical weather days nor geomagnetic storms are forecast through Wednesday.
Tropical cyclone outlook – TS Sepat, 600 miles SSE of Yokosuka, Japan is moving NNW at 15 knots. The system will weaken considerably in 36 hours as it encounters much cooler sea surface temperatures. No impacts to any land masses expected. Broad area of low pressure offshore Central America in the Eastern Pacific may develop into a TD later on this week.
CONUS severe weather outlook – slight risks exist for the next couple of days across the Midwest and the Front Range however no widespread outbreaks are likely at this time.
Europe outlook – On Tuesday and Wednesday an upper-level ridge will persist from Western France to Western Turkey. Isolated to widely scattered showers are possible through mid-week across mainly NE Europe where a very well pronounced upper-level low resides. Another upper-level closed low to the West of Portugal on Tuesday will move into the Bay of Biscay on Wednesday. Estofex on Tuesday is forecasting severe thunderstorms over Spain and SW France with large hail and severe downbursts the main concerns.
Canadian smoke model forecast – portions of Eastern Alaska continue to be most affected by forest fire smoke plumes. Much of the CONUS will not be affected.
Images courtesy of wxcharts.com, pivotal weather.com, tropicaltidbits.com, UK met office, Weather prediction center, aviation weather center, weathernerds.org, Tomer tropical weather and the joint typhoon warning center.