Good Friday Morning,
French strike still remains on track from 10/07 to 10/09. Expect further updates early next week. Ground delays are possible today at SFO due to low ceilings and BOS due to runway construction. Watch for runway closures at TEB on 10/06 and 10/07. The CBP facility at LUK will be closed from 10/11 to 10/23 for renovations. CVG remains a good alternative airport. Storm AMY will continue to be a high impact weather event from Ireland to Scotland through Saturday evening with very gusty winds and likely low level turbc sigmets.
Critical weather days / geomagnetic storm outlook – none through the weekend.
Tropical cyclone outlook – TC02A, 180 miles South of Karachi, Pakistan will likely remain nearly stationary for the next several days with no impact to any land masses. Typhoon Matmo, 145 miles North of Manila, will likely intensify over the next couple of days with landfall likely well to the Southwest of Hong Kong on the 05th around 06z. Invest area 99P, a few hundred miles offshore of Mexico, on the Pacific side, will have to watched carefully over the next 7 days. Latest modeling keeps the system just offshore. On the Atlantic side, a few suspect areas exist and will discuss more on Monday.
CONUS severe weather outlook – no significant severe weather outbreaks expected for the next seven days.
Europe outlook – very intense storm AMY, located 225 miles NW of Shannon, Ireland, will move quickly to the NE over the next 24 hours and will be located at 12z Saturday, around 250 miles to the NW of Bergen, Norway. A very strong cold front on Saturday will be pushing through central Europe with a heavy band of showers and isolated thunderstorms along with an abrupt wind shift. Delays are likely across much of Europe today through Saturday due to the very gusty winds over much of Western Europe. Snow fall amounts should be fairly light in the Alps through early next week. Winds just above the surface for the next 36 hours will be in excess of 60 knots over a large portion of Western Europe.
North Atlantic jet stream analysis – pattern remains erratic through the weekend thanks in part due to an upper-level ridge over Spain and a broad upper-level trough from Greenland to Eastern Newfoundland. This pattern shows little change on Monday.
Images courtesy of wxcharts.com, pivotal weather.com, tropical tidbits.com, UK met office, Weather prediction center, Environment Canada, weathernerds.org, Tomer tropical weather and the joint typhoon warning center.
