Good Friday Morning!
SpaceX is planning another launch from South TX tonight. Hazard areas may extend from the Western Gulf of Mexico to the Santo Domingo FIR’s which may require some rerouting. A backup launch window is scheduled for 11/14. A presidential TFR is likely coming to PANC on 11/16, probably related to the APEC conference. World Economic Forum is slated for Davos, Switzerland from January 18th until January 22nd next year. Naturally parking will be tight so get in your requests ASAP. No presidential TFR for West Palm Beach this weekend. Finally, the formula 1 Las Vegas Grand Prix takes place the weekend of November 19th through the 21st.
No critical weather days are in effect through Sunday. Space weather remains quiet through Sunday also.
CONUS severe weather outlook – a marginal risk of severe thunderstorms is possible on Sunday across Central to Southern TX on Sunday.
Tropical weather outlook – invest area 95P, 750 miles ENE of PAGO PAGO has a medium chance of developing over the next 24 hours. General trend over the next several days will be slow intensification as it moves in a gradual SW direction, staying well off to the NE of FIJI.
Europe outlook – on Saturday, a weak upper-level ridge will be present over much of central Europe with the surface high centered over Croatia. A frontal system will be approaching Ireland with a few light showers expected there. On Sunday a fairly strong upper-level trough/cold front will be pushing through the UK with numerous showers and gusty winds expected over much of the UK and France with some snow expected over the Scottish Highlands. Another strong frontal system and low-pressure area will approach Ireland on Monday with widespread moderate rain and very gusty winds expected from Ireland to Germany to Spain with snow expected over portions of Northern Ireland the Central UK then.
North Atlantic jet stream outlook – on Sunday, a very strong SW flow aloft from Florida to Shannon will dominate the upper-level pattern with max velocities in excess of 125 knots. On Monday the jet will become even stronger from Florida to Western France with velocities in excess of 150 knots.
Images courtesy of wxcharts.com, pivotal weather.com, tropical tidbits.com, UK met office, Weather prediction center, weathernerds.org, Tomer tropical weather and the joint typhoon warning center.
