Good Friday Morning!
Presidential TFR’s are in place today for several Atlanta airports excluding ATL. PBI/DJT will be affected this weekend too. Two-mile exclusion rings allow for unrestricted arrivals and departures at FXE and SUA. Haze continues to be issue around Singapore. Visibilities of 2000 meters appear to be common. Data network issues continue in Italy until at least 15z today. LIMM/LIPP/LIRR/LIBB Firs appear to be affected. Expect significant reroutes and/or ground delay programs over the Mid Atlantic through New England later on today in association with the squall line moving in from the NW.
A critical weather day remains in effect until 12z Sunday in support of TC ops across Guam and Rota. Space weather remains quiet through Sunday.
CONUS severe weather outlook – slight risk for severe thunderstorms exists through this evening from the Mid-Atlantic states through Southern New England as a deep positive-tilt mid/upper-level trough moves through the region. Wind damage appears to be the highest threat. A relatively quiet pattern then sets in after tonight through the middle of next week.
Tropical weather outlook – major hurricane Trudy 240 miles SW of Acapulco, Mexico is moving NW at 6 mph. It is expected to remain a CAT 3 cyclone when it makes it closest approach to the Mexican Coastline Saturday night through Sunday morning where hurricane watches remain in effect. Not concerned about Simon, well to the South of Cabo. TS Champi, 450 miles ESE of Andersen AFB is moving West at 11 knots. It is expected to max out at 135 knots on the 19th and will come very close to Guam on 10/17 at 21z.
Over the longer term it could be a high impact event for Taiwan about a week from now.
Europe outlook – on Sunday a rather diffuse cold front will be present from Poland to Central Spain with snow possible in the higher elevations of the Alps along with showers at the lower elevations. Strong high pressure will prevail from Norway to Ireland. A rare, westerly moving cold upper-level low will be centered in Eastern France along with another upper low over the Central Black Sea with showers likely in the vicinity of this upper-level low. On Monday the cold upper-level low will be centered over NW France with a very pronounced upper level ridge from Scotland to Finland. Daytime showers are likely in the vicinity of this upper level low with low freezing levels anticipated.
North Atlantic jet stream outlook – mid day Sunday will feature a very strong Southwesterly flow from Nova Scotia to Iceland with peak velocities of 150 knots.
Images courtesy of wxcharts.com, pivotal weather.com, tropical tidbits.com, UK met office, Weather prediction center, weathernerds.org, Tomer tropical weather and the joint typhoon warning center.
